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2.5: Chi-square Test of Independence

Skills to Develop

  • To use the chi-square test of independence when you have two nominal variables and you want to see whether the proportions of one variable are different for different values of the other variable.
  • Use it when the sample size is large.

When to use it

Use the chi-square test of independence when you have two nominal variables, each with two or more possible values. You want to know whether the proportions for one variable are different among values of the other variable. For example, Jackson et al. (2013) wanted to know whether it is better to give the diphtheria, tetanus and pertussis (DTaP) vaccine in either the thigh or the arm, so they collected data on severe reactions to this vaccine in children aged \(3\) to \(6\) years old. One nominal variable is severe reaction vs. no severe reaction; the other nominal variable is thigh vs. arm.

  No severe reaction Severe reaction Percent severe reaction
Thigh 4758 30 0.63%
Arm 8840 76 0.85%

There is a higher proportion of severe reactions in children vaccinated in the arm; a chi-square of independence will tell you whether a difference this big is likely to have occurred by chance.

A data set like this is often called an "\(R\times C\) table," where \(R\) is the number of rows and \(C\) is the number of columns. This is a \(2\times 2\) table. If the results were divided into "no reaction", "swelling," and "pain", it would have been a \(2\times 3\) table, or a \(3\times 2\) table; it doesn't matter which variable is the columns and which is the rows.

It is also possible to do a chi-square test of independence with more than two nominal variables. For example, Jackson et al. (2013) also had data for children under \(3\), so you could do an analysis of old vs. young, thigh vs. arm, and reaction vs. no reaction, all analyzed together. That experimental design doesn't occur very often in experimental biology and is rather complicated to analyze and interpret, so I don't cover it in this handbook (except for the special case of repeated \(2\times 2\) tables, analyzed with the Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel test).

Fisher's exact test is more accurate than the chi-square test of independence when the expected numbers are small, so I only recommend the chi-square test if your total sample size is greater than \(1000\). See the web page on small sample sizes for further discussion of what it means to be "small".

The chi-square test of independence is an alternative to the G–test of independence, and they will give approximately the same results. Most of the information on this page is identical to that on the G–test page. You should read the section on "Chi-square vs. G–test", pick either chi-square or G–test, then stick with that choice for the rest of your life.

Null hypothesis

The null hypothesis is that the relative proportions of one variable are independent of the second variable; in other words, the proportions at one variable are the same for different values of the second variable. In the vaccination example, the null hypothesis is that the proportion of children given thigh injections who have severe reactions is equal to the proportion of children given arm injections who have severe reactions.

How the test works

The math of the chi-square test of independence is the same as for the chi-square test of goodness-of-fit, only the method of calculating the expected frequencies is different. For the goodness-of-fit test, you use a theoretical relationship to calculate the expected frequencies. For the test of independence, you use the observed frequencies to calculate the expected. For the vaccination example, there are \(4758+8840+30+76=13704\)total children, and \(30+76=106\) of them had reactions. The null hypothesis is therefore that \(106/13704=0.7735\%\) of the children given injections in the thigh would have reactions, and \(0.7735\%\) of children given injections in the arm would also have reactions. There are \(4758+30=4788\) children given injections in the thigh, so you expect \(0.007735\times 4788=37.0\) of the thigh children to have reactions, if the null hypothesis is true. You could do the same kind of calculation for each of the cells in this \(2\times 2\) table of numbers.

Once you have each of the four expected numbers, you could compare them to the observed numbers using the chi-square test, just like you did for the chi-square test of goodness-of-fit. The result is \(\text{chi-square}=2.04\).

To get the \(P\) value, you also need the number of degrees of freedom. The degrees of freedom in a test of independence are equal to \(\text{(number of rows)}-1\times \text{(number of columns)}-1\). Thus for a \(2\times 2\) table, there are \((2-1)\times (2-1)=1\) degree of freedom; for a \(4\times 3\) table, there are \((4-1)\times (3-1)=6\) degrees of freedom. For \(\text{chi-square}=2.04\) with \(1\) degree of freedom, the \(P\) value is \(0.15\), which is not significant; you cannot conclude that \(3\)-to-\(6\)-year-old children given DTaP vaccinations in the thigh have fewer reactions that those given injections in the arm. (Note that I'm just using the \(3\)-to-\(6\) year olds as an example; Jackson et al. [2013] also analyzed a much larger number of children less than 3 and found significantly fewer reactions in children given DTaP in the thigh.)

While in principle, the chi-square test of independence is the same as the test of goodness-of-fit, in practice, the calculations for the chi-square test of independence use shortcuts that don't require calculating the expected frequencies.

Post-hoc tests

When the chi-square test of a table larger than \(2\times 2\) is significant (and sometimes when it isn't), it is desirable to investigate the data further. MacDonald and Gardner (2000) use simulated data to test several post-hoc tests for a test of independence, and they found that pairwise comparisons with Bonferroni corrections of the \(P\) values work well. To illustrate this method, here is a study (Klein et al. 2011) of men who were randomly assigned to take selenium, vitamin E, both selenium and vitamin E, or placebo, and then followed up to see whether they developed prostate cancer:

  No cancer Prostate cancer Percent cancer
Selenium 8177 575 6.6%
Vitamin E 8117 620 7.1%
Selenium and E 8147 555 6.4%
Placebo 8167 529 6.1%

The overall \(4\times 2\) table has a chi-square value of \(7.78\) with \(3\) degrees of freedom, giving a \(P\) value of \(0.051\). This is not quite significant (by a tiny bit), but it's worthwhile to follow up to see if there's anything interesting. There are six possible pairwise comparisons, so you can do a \(2\times 2\) chi-square test for each one and get the following \(P\) values:

  P value
Selenium vs. vitamin E 0.17
Selenium vs. both 0.61
Selenium vs. placebo 0.19
Vitamin E vs. both 0.06
Vitamin E vs. placebo 0.007
Both vs. placebo 0.42

Because there are six comparisons, the Bonferroni-adjusted \(P\) value needed for significance is \(0.05/6\), or \(0.008\). The \(P\) value for vitamin E vs. the placebo is less than \(0.008\), so you can say that there were significantly more cases of prostate cancer in men taking vitamin E than men taking the placebo.

For this example, I tested all six possible pairwise comparisons. Klein et al. (2011) decided before doing the study that they would only look at five pairwise comparisons (all except selenium vs. vitamin E), so their Bonferroni-adjusted \(P\) value would have been \(0.05/5\), or \(0.01\). If they had decided ahead of time to just compare each of the three treatments vs. the placebo, their Bonferroni-adjusted \(P\) value would have been \(0.05/3\), or \(0.017\). The important thing is to decide before looking at the results how many comparisons to do, then adjust the \(P\) value accordingly. If you don't decide ahead of time to limit yourself to particular pair wise comparisons, you need to adjust for the number of all possible pairs.

Another kind of post-hoc comparison involves testing each value of one nominal variable vs. the sum of all others. The same principle applies: get the \(P\) value for each comparison, then apply the Bonferroni correction. For example, Latta et al. (2012) collected birds in remnant riparian habitat (areas along rivers in California with mostly native vegetation) and restored riparian habitat (once degraded areas that have had native vegetation re-established). They observed the following numbers (lumping together the less common bird species as "Uncommon"):

  Remnant Restored
Ruby-crowned kinglet 677 198
White-crowned sparrow 408 260
Lincoln's sparrow 270 187
Golden-crowned sparrow 300 89
Bushtit 198 91
Song Sparrow 150 50
Spotted towhee 137 32
Bewick's wren 106 48
Hermit thrush 119 24
Dark-eyed junco 34 39
Lesser goldfinch 57 15
Uncommon 457 125

The overall table yields a chi-square value of \(149.8\) with \(11\) degrees of freedom, which is highly significant (\(P=2\times 10^{-26}\)). That tells us there's a difference in the species composition between the remnant and restored habitat, but it would be interesting to see which species are a significantly higher proportion of the total in each habitat. To do that, do a \(2\times 2\) table for each species vs. all others, like this:

  Remnant Restored
Ruby-crowned kinglet 677 198
All others 2236 960

This gives the following \(P\) values:

  P value
Ruby-crowned kinglet 0.000017
White-crowned sparrow 5.2×10−11
Lincoln's sparrow 3.5×10−10
Golden-crowned sparrow 0.011
Bushtit 0.23
Song Sparrow 0.27
Spotted towhee 0.0051
Bewick's wren 0.44
Hermit thrush 0.0017
Dark-eyed junco 1.8×10−6
Lesser goldfinch 0.15
Uncommon 0.00006

Because there are \(12\) comparisons, applying the Bonferroni correction means that a \(P\) value has to be less than \(0.05/12=0.0042\) to be significant at the \(P<0.05\) level, so six of the \(12\) species show a significant difference between the habitats.

When there are more than two rows and more than two columns, you may want to do all possible pairwise comparisons of rows and all possible pairwise comparisons of columns; in that case, simply use the total number of pairwise comparisons in your Bonferroni correction of the \(P\) value. There are also several techniques that test whether a particular cell in an \(R\times C\) table deviates significantly from expected; see MacDonald and Gardner (2000) for details.

Assumptions

The chi-square test of independence, like other tests of independence, assumes that the individual observations are independent.

Example 1

Bambach et al. (2013) analyzed data on all bicycle accidents involving collisions with motor vehicles in New South Wales, Australia during 2001-2009. Their very extensive multi-variable analysis includes the following numbers, which I picked out both to use as an example of a \(2\times 2\) table and to convince you to wear your bicycle helmet:

  Head injury Other injury % head injury
Wearing helmet 372 4715 7.3%
No helmet 267 1391 16.1%

The results are \(\text{chi-square}=112.7\), \(1\) degree of freedom, \(P=3\times 10^{-26}\), meaning that bicyclists who were not wearing a helmet have a higher proportion of head injuries.

Example 2

Gardemann et al. (1998) surveyed genotypes at an insertion/deletion polymorphism of the apolipoprotein \(B\) signal peptide in \(2259\) men. The nominal variables are genotype (ins/ins, ins/del, del/del) and coronary artery disease (with or without disease). The data are:

  No disease Coronary artery disease % disease
ins/ins 268 807 24.9%
ins/del 199 759 20.8%
del/del 42 184 18.6%

The biological null hypothesis is that the apolipoprotein polymorphism doesn't affect the likelihood of getting coronary artery disease. The statistical null hypothesis is that the proportions of men with coronary artery disease are the same for each of the three genotypes.

The result is \(\text{chi-square}=7.26\), \(2d.f.\), \(P=0.027\). This indicates that you can reject the null hypothesis; the three genotypes have significantly different proportions of men with coronary artery disease.

Graphing the results 

You should usually display the data used in a test of independence with a bar graph, with the values of one variable on the \(X\)-axis and the proportions of the other variable on the \(Y\)-axis. If the variable on the \(Y\)-axis only has two values, you only need to plot one of them. In the example below, there would be no point in plotting both the percentage of men with prostate cancer and the percentage without prostate cancer; once you know what percentage have cancer, you can figure out how many didn't have cancer.

Fig. 2.5.1 A bar graph for when the nominal variable has only two values, showing the percentage of men on different treatments who developed prostate cancer. Error bars are 95% confidence intervals.

If the variable on the \(Y\)-axis has more than two values, you should plot all of them. Some people use pie charts for this, as illustrated by the data on bird landing sites from the Fisher's exact test page:

Fig. 2.5.2 A pie chart for when the nominal variable has more than two values. The percentage of birds landing on each type of landing site is shown for herons and egrets.

But as much as I like pie, I think pie charts make it difficult to see small differences in the proportions, and difficult to show confidence intervals. In this situation, I prefer bar graphs:

Fig. 2.5.3 A bar graph for when the nominal variable has more than two values. The percentage of birds landing on each type of landing site is shown for herons (gray bars) and egrets (black bars).

Similar tests

There are several tests that use chi-square statistics. The one described here is formally known as Pearson's chi-square. It is by far the most common chi-square test, so it is usually just called the chi-square test.

The chi-square test may be used both as a test of goodness-of-fit (comparing frequencies of one nominal variable to theoretical expectations) and as a test of independence (comparing frequencies of one nominal variable for different values of a second nominal variable). The underlying arithmetic of the test is the same; the only difference is the way you calculate the expected values. However, you use goodness-of-fit tests and tests of independence for quite different experimental designs and they test different null hypotheses, so I treat the chi-square test of goodness-of-fit and the chi-square test of independence as two distinct statistical tests.

If the expected numbers in some classes are small, the chi-square test will give inaccurate results. In that case, you should use Fisher's exact test. I recommend using the chi-square test only when the total sample size is greater than \(1000\), and using Fisher's exact test for everything smaller than that. See the web page on small sample sizes for further discussion.

If the samples are not independent, but instead are before-and-after observations on the same individuals, you should use McNemar's test.

Chi-square vs. G–test

The chi-square test gives approximately the same results as the G–test. Unlike the chi-square test, \(G\)-values are additive, which means they can be used for more elaborate statistical designs. G–tests are a subclass of likelihood ratio tests, a general category of tests that have many uses for testing the fit of data to mathematical models; the more elaborate versions of likelihood ratio tests don't have equivalent tests using the Pearson chi-square statistic. The G–test is therefore preferred by many, even for simpler designs. On the other hand, the chi-square test is more familiar to more people, and it's always a good idea to use statistics that your readers are familiar with when possible. You may want to look at the literature in your field and see which is more commonly used.

How to do the test

Spreadsheet

I have set up a spreadsheet chiind.xls that performs this test for up to \(10\) columns and \(50\) rows. It is largely self-explanatory; you just enter you observed numbers, and the spreadsheet calculates the chi-squared test statistic, the degrees of freedom, and the \(P\) value.

Web page

There are many web pages that do chi-squared tests of independence, but most are limited to fairly small numbers of rows and columns. Here is a page that will do up to a 10×10 table.

R

Salvatore Mangiafico's R Companion has a sample R program for the chi-square test of independence.

SAS

Here is a SAS program that uses PROC FREQ for a chi-square test. It uses the apolipoprotein \(B\) data from above.

DATA cad;
   INPUT genotype $ health $ count;
   DATALINES;
ins-ins no_disease 268
ins-ins disease    807
ins-del no_disease 199
ins-del disease    759
del-del no_disease  42
del-del disease    184
;
PROC FREQ DATA=cad;
   WEIGHT count / ZEROS;
   TABLES genotype*health / CHISQ;
RUN;

The output includes the following:

Statistics for Table of genotype by health

Statistic  DF Value  Prob
Chi-Square                     2 7.2594 0.0265
Likelihood Ratio Chi-Square    2 7.3008 0.0260
Mantel-Haenszel Chi-Square     1 7.0231 0.0080
Phi Coefficient                         0.0567  
Contingency Coefficient                 0.0566  
Cramer's V    0.0567  

The "Chi-Square" on the first line is the \(P\) value for the chi-square test; in this case, \(\text{chi-square}=7.2594\), \(2d.f.\), \(P=0.0265\).

Power analysis

If each nominal variable has just two values (a \(2\times 2\) table), use the power analysis for Fisher's exact test. It will work even if the sample size you end up needing is too big for a Fisher's exact test.

For a test with more than \(2\) rows or columns, use G*Power to calculate the sample size needed for a test of independence. Under Test Family, choose chi-square tests, and under Statistical Test, choose Goodness-of-Fit Tests: Contingency Tables. Under Type of Power Analysis, choose A Priori: Compute Required Sample Size.

You next need to calculate the effect size parameter \(w\). You can do this in G*Power if you have just two columns; if you have more than two columns, use the chi-square spreadsheet chiind.xls. In either case, enter made-up proportions that look like what you hope to detect. This made-up data should have proportions equal to what you expect to see, and the difference in proportions between different categories should be the minimum size that you hope to see. G*Power or the spreadsheet will give you the value of w, which you enter into the Effect Size w box in G*Power.

Finally, enter your alpha (usually \(0.05\)), your power (often \(0.8\) or \(0.9\)), and your degrees of freedom (for a test with \(R\) rows and \(C\) columns, remember that degrees of freedom is \((R-1)\times (C-1)\)), then hit Calculate. This analysis assumes that your total sample will be divided equally among the groups; if it isn't, you'll need a larger sample size than the one you estimate.

As an example, let's say you're looking for a relationship between bladder cancer and genotypes at a polymorphism in the catechol-O-methyltransferase gene in humans. In the population you're studying, you know that the genotype frequencies in people without bladder cancer are \(0.36GG\), \(0.48GA\), and \(0.16AA\); you want to know how many people with bladder cancer you'll have to genotype to get a significant result if they have \(6\%\) more \(AA\) genotypes. Enter \(0.36\), \(0.48\), and \(0.16\) in the first column of the spreadsheet, and \(0.33\), \(0.45\), and \(0.22\) in the second column; the effect size (\(w\)) is \(0.10838\). Enter this in the G*Power page, enter \(0.05\) for alpha, \(0.80\) for power, and \(2\) for degrees of freedom. The result is a total sample size of \(821\), so you'll need \(411\) people with bladder cancer and \(411\) people without bladder cancer.

References

  1. Bambach, M.R., R.J. Mitchell, R.H. Grzebieta, and J. Olivier. 2013. The effectiveness of helmets in bicycle collisions with motor vehicles: A case–control study. Accident Analysis and Prevention 53: 78-88.
  2. Gardemann, A., D. Ohly, M. Fink, N. Katz, H. Tillmanns, F.W. Hehrlein, and W. Haberbosch. 1998. Association of the insertion/deletion gene polymorphism of the apolipoprotein B signal peptide with myocardial infarction. Atherosclerosis 141: 167-175.
  3. Jackson, L.A., Peterson, D., Nelson, J.C., et al. (13 co-authors). 2013. Vaccination site and risk of local reactions in children one through six years of age. Pediatrics 131: 283-289.
  4. Klein, E.A., I.M. Thompson, C.M. Tangen, et al. (21 co-authors). 2011. Vitamin E and the risk of prostate cancer: the selenium and vitamin E cancer prevention trial (SELECT). Journal of the American Medical Association 306: 1549-1556.
  5. Latta, S.C., C.A. Howell, M.D. Dettling, and R.L. Cormier. 2012. Use of data on avian demographics and site persistence during overwintering to assess quality of restored riparian habitat. Conservation Biology 26: 482-492.
  6. MacDonald, P.L., and Gardner, R.C. 2000. Type I error rate comparisons of post hoc procedures for I×J chi-square tables. Educational and Psychological Measurment 60: 735-754.

Contributor

  • John H. McDonald (University of Delaware)